895
AXPZ20 KNHC 272127
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC FRI FEB 27 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
A SURFACE TROUGH IS ANALYZED FROM A 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE LOCATED
OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA NEAR 10N75W TO 07S90W TO 02S100W. THE
ITCZ IS SOUTH OF THE EQUATOR AND RUNS FROM 02S100W TO BEYOND
05S120W. CONVECTION IS LIMITED.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
A RIDGE DOMINATES THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUPPORTING GENTLE TO MODERATE NW WINDS WITH MODERATE SEAS. LIGHT
TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE, INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA,
AND THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SEAS ARE 3 TO 5 IN THE OFFSHORE
WATERS AND 1 TO 3 FT IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, INCLUDING ALSO
THE AREA BETWEEN LOS CABOS AND LAS MARIAS ISLANDS.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE FORECAST
WATERS OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO FRESH SPEEDS N OF CABO SAN LAZARO STARTING SUN
NIGHT HAS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TOWARD THE REGION AND THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS. FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
PULSING NIGHTLY IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STARTING LATE TONIGHT.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH NE WINDS ARE BLOWING ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION WITH SEAS
OF 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE, WINDS ARE GENTLE OR WEAKER WITH SLIGHT
TO MODERATE SEAS.
FOR THE FORECAST, PULSING FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE PAPAGAYO AREA THROUGH WED NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS
N OF AREA. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD UP TO 8 FT WITHIN THESE
WINDS. MODERATE TO FRESH N WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE FORECAST
IN THE GULF OF PANAMA AT NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT AS N WINDS FROM
THE CARIBBEAN FUNNEL INTO THE GULF OF PANAMA.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A STATIONARY FRONT IS OVER THE NW CORNER OF THE FORECAST REGION
AND EXTENDS FROM 30N133W TO 21N140W. SEAS OF 8 TO 9 FT FOLLOW
THE FRONT. A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 28N129W. THE
ASSOCIATED RIDGE COVERS THE FORECAST WATERS N OF 15N W OF 115W.
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH TRADES ARE PRESENT ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE WITH MODERATE SEAS. ROUGH SEAS ARE STILL
NOTED S OF 10S W OF 130W BASED ON A RECENT ALTIMETER PASS, AND
FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN 112W AND 126W.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE FRONT WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE
NW WATERS INTO TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE ON SAT. SEAS
FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT LATE ON SAT.
AT THE SAME TIME, THE ABOVE MENTIONED AREAS OF SWELL WILL CONTINUE
TO SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
EASTWARD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
GR
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