733
AXPZ20 KNHC 280218
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SAT FEB 28 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
A SURFACE TROUGH IS ANALYZED FROM A 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE LOCATED
OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA NEAR 10N75W TO 07S90W TO 02S100W. THE
ITCZ IS SOUTH OF THE EQUATOR AND RUNS FROM 02S100W TO BEYOND
05S120W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE
FEATURES.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
A RIDGE DOMINATES THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUPPORTING GENTLE TO TO LOCALLY MODERATE NW WINDS WITH MODERATE
SEAS. WINDS ARE MAINLY LIGHT ARE ELSEWHERE, INCLUDING THE GULF
OF CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SEAS ARE 3 TO 5 IN
THE OFFSHORE WATERS AND 1 TO 3 FT IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE
FORECAST WATERS OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO FRESH SPEEDS N OF CABO SAN LAZARO STARTING
SUN NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TOWARD THE REGION AND THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO PULSING NIGHTLY IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STARTING
LATE TONIGHT.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH NE WINDS ARE BLOWING ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION WITH SEAS
OF 4 TO 6 FT. MODERATE TO FRESH GAP WINDS HAVE ALSO DEVELOPED IN
THE GULF OF PANAMA. ELSEWHERE, WINDS ARE MAINLY LIGHT WITH
SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS.
FOR THE FORECAST, PULSING FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE PAPAGAYO AREA THROUGH WED NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS
N OF AREA. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD UP TO 8 FT WITHIN THESE
WINDS. MODERATE TO FRESH N WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE FORECAST
IN THE GULF OF PANAMA AT NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT AS N WINDS FROM
THE CARIBBEAN FUNNEL INTO THE GULF OF PANAMA.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A STATIONARY FRONT IS OVER THE NW CORNER OF THE FORECAST REGION
AND EXTENDS FROM 30N133W TO 21N140W. SEAS OF 8 TO 9 FT FOLLOW
THE FRONT. A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 30N129W. THE
ASSOCIATED RIDGE COVERS THE FORECAST WATERS N OF 15N W OF 115W.
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH TRADES ARE PRESENT ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE WITH MODERATE SEAS. ROUGH SEAS ARE STILL
NOTED FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN 112W AND 126W.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE FRONT WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE
NW WATERS INTO TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE ON SAT. SEAS
FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT LATE ON SAT.
AT THE SAME TIME, THE ABOVE MENTIONED AREAS OF SWELL WILL CONTINUE
TO SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
EASTWARD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
KONARIK
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