856
AXPZ20 KNHC 280811
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC SAT FEB 28 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0700 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
A SURFACE TROUGH IS ANALYZED FROM 07S90W TO 02S100W. THE ITCZ IS
FROM 02S100W TO BEYOND 05S120W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE FEATURES.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
A RIDGE DOMINATES THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUPPORTING GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE NW WINDS WITH MODERATE
SEAS. WINDS ARE MAINLY LIGHT ARE ELSEWHERE, INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SEAS ARE 3 TO 5 FT IN
THE OFFSHORE WATERS AND 1 TO 3 FT IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE
FORECAST WATERS OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO FRESH SPEEDS N OF CABO SAN LAZARO
STARTING SUN NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TOWARD THE REGION AND
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO PULSE NIGHTLY IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH THE
PERIOD.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH NE WINDS ARE BLOWING ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION WITH SEAS
OF 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE, WINDS ARE LIGHT TO GENTLE WITH SLIGHT
TO MODERATE SEAS.
FOR THE FORECAST, PULSING FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE PAPAGAYO AREA THROUGH WED NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS
N OF AREA. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD UP TO 8 FT WITHIN THESE
WINDS. MODERATE TO FRESH N WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE FORECAST
IN THE GULF OF PANAMA AT NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT AS N WINDS FROM
THE CARIBBEAN FUNNEL INTO THE GULF OF PANAMA.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A STATIONARY FRONT IS OVER THE NW CORNER OF THE FORECAST REGION
AND EXTENDS FROM 30N133W TO 21N140W. SEAS OF 8 TO 9 FT FOLLOW
THE FRONT. RIDGING COVERS THE FORECAST WATERS N OF 15N W OF
115W. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH TRADES ARE PRESENT ALONG THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE WITH MODERATE SEAS.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE FRONT WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE INTO
TONIGHT, AND SEAS NW OF THE BOUNDARY WILL SUBSIDE BELOW 8 FT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, CAUSING NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS TO
GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH MUCH OF THE BASIN.
KONARIK
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