361
AXPZ20 KNHC 020219
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON MAR 2 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
A SURFACE TROUGH IS ANALYZED FROM 07N81W TO 02N96W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 04S100W TO BEYOND 02S120W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS NOTED S OF 00N BETWEEN 84W AND 90W AND S OF 00N
BETWEEN 110W AND 123W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
STRONG WINDS AND SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FT PREVAIL OVER THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE, A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT IS RESULTING IN
MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS. MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL OVER THE OPEN
WATERS OFF MEXICO, WITH SLIGHT SEAS OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE AREA FROM
THE NW EARLY THIS WEEK. THIS WILL TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA, INCREASING WINDS OVER THESE WATERS.
LOCALLY STRONG NW WINDS ARE LIKELY MON AND MON NIGHT N OF CABO
SAN LAZARO. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE OVER NE
MEXICO AND THE EQUATORIAL TROUGH WILL SUPPORT MODERATE TO FRESH
WINDS OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH MIDWEEK. WINDS WILL
PULSE TO STRONG EACH NIGHT WITH THE ADDED COMPONENT OF NOCTURNAL
DRAINAGE FLOW. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WATERS N OF
PUNTA EUGENIA BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT W5-7EEK. THIS WILL FURTHER
TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS
AND BUILDING SEAS.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH WINDS ARE OVER AND DOWNSTREAM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO AS WELL
AS THE GULF OF PANAMA, WITH SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE, WINDS
ARE MAINLY LIGHT TO GENTLE WITH SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS.
FOR THE FORECAST, PULSING FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE PAPAGAYO AREA THROUGH THROUGH THE WEEK. WINDS WILL INCREASE
TO 30 KT TONIGHT INTO MON WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 8 TO 9 FT
DOWNWIND OF THE PAPAGAYO REGION TO NEAR 90W. FRESH TO LOCALLY
STRONG N GAP WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS WILL PULSE IN THE GULF OF
PANAMA AND JUST S OF THE AZUERO PENINSULA.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE WATERS N OF 20N. THERE IS A WEAK
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND LOWER
PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ. THIS IS RESULTING IN WINDS
MODERATE OR WEAKER OVER THE DISCUSSION WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE
4-7 FT RANGE.
FOR THE FORECAST, LITTLE CHANGE IN MARINE CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED
INTO MID WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA BY WED AND
THU, TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT. WITH THE TIGHTENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT, AREAS OF LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS
ARE POSSIBLE N OF 15N FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.
KONARIK
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