855
AXPZ20 KNHC 030247
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE MAR 3 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0230 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 03N116W TO BEYOND 02N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 01N TO 06N BETWEEN 136W AND
140W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
STRONG WINDS AND SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FT PREVAIL OVER THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING SE TOWARD BAJA
CALIFORNIA, CAUSING MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS OFFSHORE BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE. ELSEWHERE, A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT IS LEADING
TO LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS. MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL OVER THE OPEN
WATERS OFF MEXICO, WITH SLIGHT SEAS OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT OFFSHORE BAJA
CALIFORNIA WILL INCREASE WINDS TO FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG
THROUGH TONIGHT N OF CABO SAN LAZARO. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE OVER NE MEXICO AND THE EQUATORIAL TROUGH
WILL SUPPORT STRONG GAP WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUNATEPEC TONIGHT
AND TUE NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WATERS N OF
PUNTA EUGENIA BY MID-WEEK. THIS WILL FURTHER TIGHTEN THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TO SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS AND
BUILDING SEAS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WILL
THEN PERSIST THERE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
STRONG GAP WINDS ARE IN THE PAPAGAYO REGION, WITH SIMILAR WINDS
IN THE GULF OF PANAMA, AND SEAS IN BOTH AREAS AT 5 TO 7 FT.
ELSEWHERE, WINDS ARE LIGHT TO GENTLE WITH SLIGHT TO MODERATE
SEAS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED JUST SW OF THE
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS.
FOR THE FORECAST, PULSING FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE PAPAGAYO AREA THROUGH THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 KT TONIGHT INTO TUE MORNING AND TUE
NIGHT INTO WED MORNING, WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 8 TO 9 FT DOWNWIND
OF THE PAPAGAYO REGION TO NEAR 90W. FRESH N GAP WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS WILL PULSE IN THE GULF OF PANAMA AND JUST S OF THE
AZUERO PENINSULA, EXCEPT FRESH TO STRONG THROUGH TUE NIGHT.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED JUST N OF THE REGION IS DOMINATING MUCH
OF THE WATERS N OF 10N. THIS IS LEADING TO MAINLY MODERATE OR
WEAKER NE TO E WINDS N OF THE EQUATOR ALONG WITH MODERATE SEAS,
EXCEPT TO FRESH FROM 05N TO 23N AND W OF 135W WITH SEAS TO
ROUGH THERE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION NOTED FROM 03N TO 08N
BETWEEN 118W AND 128W.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA BY MID-
WEEK, TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT. AS THIS OCCURS, AREAS OF
LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ARE LIKELY OVER THE NW
WATERS ROUGHLY N OF 05N AND W OF 115W FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE
WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
KONARIK
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