819
AXPZ20 KNHC 030817
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC TUE MAR 3 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0800 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
A SURFACE TROUGH IS NOTED FROM 02N90W TO 02N108W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 03N113W TO BEYOND 02N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 02N TO 06N BETWEEN 131W AND 139W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
STRONG WINDS AND SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FT PREVAIL OVER THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING SE TOWARD BAJA
CALIFORNIA, CAUSING FRESH NW WINDS OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA
NORTE. ELSEWHERE, A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT IS LEADING TO LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS. MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL OVER THE OPEN WATERS OFF
MEXICO, WITH SLIGHT SEAS OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE
OVER NE MEXICO AND THE EQUATORIAL TROUGH WILL SUPPORT STRONG GAP
WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUNATEPEC EARLY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN
TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WATERS N OF PUNTA
EUGENIA BY WED, TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND SUPPORTING
FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WILL THEN PERSIST THERE THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
STRONG GAP WINDS ARE IN THE PAPAGAYO REGION, WITH FRESH TO STRONG
GAP WINDS ALSO ONGOING IN THE GULF OF PANAMA, EXTENDING SOUTHWARD
TO 04N. SEAS IN THESE AREAS ARE 6 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE, WINDS ARE
LIGHT TO GENTLE WITH SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS NOTED SW OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS AND NEAR THE
COASTS OF ECUADOR AND COLOMBIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, PULSING FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE PAPAGAYO AREA THROUGH THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 KT EARLY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN TONIGHT
INTO WED MORNING, WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 8 TO 9 FT DOWNWIND OF
THE PAPAGAYO REGION TO NEAR 90W. FRESH N GAP WINDS AND MODERATE
SEAS WILL PULSE IN THE GULF OF PANAMA AND JUST S OF THE AZUERO
PENINSULA, EXCEPT FRESH TO STRONG THROUGH TONIGHT.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED JUST N OF THE REGION IS DOMINATING MUCH
OF THE WATERS N OF 10N. THIS IS LEADING TO MAINLY MODERATE OR
WEAKER NE TO E WINDS N OF THE EQUATOR ALONG WITH MODERATE SEAS.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTHWARD OVER THE
AREA THROUGH MID-WEEK, TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
INCREASING WINDS. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NE WINDS AND ROUGH
SEAS ARE LIKELY OVER NW WATERS N OF 05N AND W OF 115W STARTING
LATE WED AND CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND.
KONARIK
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