151
AXPZ20 KNHC 141459
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SAT MAR 14 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1450 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 03N95W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS
FROM 03N95W TO 00N110W TO BEYOND 03N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 02N TO 04N BETWEEN 85W AND 95W, AND FROM
03N TO 05N BETWEEN 125W AND 130W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
MODERATE NW TO N WINDS ARE NOTED OFF CABO CORRIENTES, BUT LIGHT
TO GENTLE BREEZES DOMINATE ELSEWHERE ACROSS MEXICAN OFFSHORE
WATERS. SEAS ARE 4-6 FT IN NW SWELL, EXCEPT 1-3 FT IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, LARGE NW SWELL WILL MOVE INTO THE OUTER
OFFSHORE WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE THROUGH LATE SUN, THEN
SUBSIDE. ELSEWHERE, A WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN OVER THE REGION WILL
MAINTAIN GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZES AND AND MODERATE SEAS OVER
THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO, WITH SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS IN THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA INTO NEXT WEEK. LOOKING AHEAD, A COLD FRONT
MOVING INTO SOUTHERN MEXICO WILL SUPPORT GALE FORCE GAP WINDS
ACROSS THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION STARTING MON NIGHT AND PERSISTING
INTO MID WEEK.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE OVER AND DOWNWIND THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO. MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS ARE OVER THE GULF OF
PANAMA. ELSEWHERE, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. ROUGH SEAS IN
SW SWELL HAS ENTERED THE WATERS SW OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS.
SEAS ARE IN THE 4-7 FT RANGE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE DISCUSSION
WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG GAP WINDS WILL
PULSE TO STRONG ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH SUN. MODERATE
N WINDS WILL PULSE TO FRESH IN THE GULF OF PANAMA THROUGH SUN.
MAINLY LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. CROSS- EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WILL BRING ROUGH SEAS
TO THE WATERS BETWEEN THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS AND ECUADOR TONIGHT
THROUGH SAT NIGHT.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED NORTH OF THE AREA. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND LOWER PRESSURE IN
THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE WINDS NORTH OF
THE ITCZ TO NEAR 15N AND WEST OF 110W. MODERATE TO LOCALLY ROUGH
SEAS IN NE TO E SWELL COVER MUCH OF THESE WATERS. SW SWELL HAS
CROSSED THE EQUATOR BRINGING ROUGH SEAS S OF 06N BETWEEN 90W AND
115W. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS
PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH ACROSS THE
DISCUSSION WATERS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE ROUGH SEAS IN THE
TRADEWIND ZONE WILL SUBSIDE TODAY. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL
WILL BRING ROUGH SEAS OVER THE WATERS S OF 10N AND E OF 120W
TONIGHT BEFORE SUBSIDING THROUGH SUN.
CHRISTENSEN
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