418  
AXPZ20 KNHC 170130  
TWDEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
0405 UTC TUE MAR 17 2026  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM  
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND  
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING  
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,  
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.  
 
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH  
0130 UTC.  
   
..SPECIAL FEATURES  
 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN  
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS EASTERN MEXICO AND THE EQUATORIAL  
TROUGH WILL SUPPORT GALE FORCE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE TEHUANTEPEC  
REGION STARTING TONIGHT AND PERSISTING INTO MID WEEK. NEAR-GALE  
FORCE GAP WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS MAY PULSE AGAIN ACROSS THE  
TEHUANTEPEC REGION THU AND FRI.  
 
PLEASE READ THE LATEST HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL  
HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE -  
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML FOR MORE  
INFORMATION.  
   
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH  
 
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 04N90W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS  
FROM 04N90W TO 00N108W TO BEYOND 01N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE  
CONVECTION IS NOTED S OF 01N BETWEEN 98W AND 110W.  
   
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO  
 
PLEASE SEE SPECIAL FEATURES ABOVE FOR MORE ON AN UPCOMING GALE  
WARNING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.  
 
A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT IS GENERATING LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS  
ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA, EXCEPT MODERATE WINDS OFF CABO  
SAN LUCAS AND CABO CORRIENTES. MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL OVER THE  
OPEN WATERS, WITH SLIGHT SEAS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  
 
FOR THE FORECAST ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING,  
A WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN OVER THE REGION WILL MAINTAIN GENTLE TO  
MODERATE BREEZES AND AND MODERATE SEAS OVER THE OPEN WATERS OFF  
MEXICO, WITH SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  
 
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,  
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...  
 
MODERATE GAP WINDS ARE OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO AND IN THE GULF  
OF PANAMA. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE. SW SWELL  
OF 6-7 FT COVERS MOST OF THE REGIONAL WATERS EXCEPT FOR IN THE  
LEE OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS.  
 
FOR THE FORECAST, LARGE NE SWELL GENERATED BY THE UPCOMING GALE  
FORCE GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MAY IMPACT THE  
OFFSHORE WATERS OF GUATEMALA TUE THROUGH LATE WED. GENTLE BREEZES  
AND MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE THROUGH LATE IN THE  
WEEK.  
   
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA  
 
A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA IS SUPPORTING MOSTLY  
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. MODERATE WAVE  
HEIGHTS IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE PREVAIL.  
 
FOR THE FORECAST, LARGE N TO NE SWELL GENERATED FROM THE UPCOMING  
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE FORCE GAP WIND EVENT WILL BRIEFLY BRING  
ROUGH SEAS MAINLY FROM 08N TO 12N AND EAST OF 100W. OTHERWISE,  
MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS  
THE REGION THROUGH THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.  
 
 
AL  
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