999
AXPZ20 KNHC 201459
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC FRI MAR 20 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1430 UTC.
..SPECIAL FEATURES
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS EASTERN MEXICO AND THE EQUATORIAL TROUGH IS
SUPPORTING GALE-FORCE N-NE WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
SEAS ARE 10-12 FT ACROSS THIS REGION. THE GALE FORCE WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTO EARLY SAT BEFORE DIMINISHING. WINDS MAY
BRIEFLY LOWER TO JUST BELOW GALE- FORCE THIS AFTERNOON.
PLEASE READ THE LATEST HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE -
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML FOR MORE
INFORMATION.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N77W TO 05N91W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS
FROM 05N91W TO 00N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED
FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 119W AND 125W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
PLEASE SEE SPECIAL FEATURES ABOVE FOR INFORMATION ON A GALE
WARNING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT IS
GENERATING LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS. MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL OVER THE
OPEN WATERS, WITH SLIGHT SEAS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE
WARNING, A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS, INCREASING TO MODERATE TO FRESH NEAR BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS
WEEKEND AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS SLIGHTLY. MODERATE SEAS
WILL PREVAIL OVER THE OPEN WATERS, WITH SLIGHT SEAS IN THE GULF
OF CALIFORNIA. SEAS WILL BUILD IN N SWELLS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA
NORTE LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE IN THE PAPAGAYO REGION, WITH LIGHT
TO GENTLE WINDS ELSEWHERE. MODERATE SEAS IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE
PREVAIL ACROSS THE DISCUSSION WATERS, EXCEPT FOR LOCALIZED SEAS
TO 7 FT IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO AND WELL OFFSHORE GUATEMALA.
FOR THE FORECAST, LARGE NW SWELL GENERATED BY THE GALE-FORCE GAP
WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WILL IMPACT THE OFFSHORE WATERS
OF GUATEMALA INTO TONIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS WILL PULSE
NIGHTLY IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. MODERATE WINDS WILL PULSE
NIGHTLY IN THE GULF OF PANAMA, WITH PULSES TO FRESH POSSIBLE
NEXT WEEK. GENTLE BREEZES AND MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA IS SUPPORTING MOSTLY
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS. MODERATE WAVE
HEIGHTS IN THE 3-6 FT RANGE PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS
WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. N
SWELL WILL BUILD S OF 30N FROM OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE BY THE
END OF THE WEEKEND, LEADING TO ROUGH SEAS.
KONARIK
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