422
AXPZ20 KNHC 051444
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE MAY 5 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1430 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 09N115W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 09N115W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS NOTED FROM 03N TO 09N E OF 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 04N TO 10N W OF 115W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG SW GAP WINDS ARE IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, WITH SEAS OF 4-5 FT. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS, AND SEAS
OF 3 FT OR LESS, ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. MODERATE TO
FRESH WINDS, AND SEAS OF 5-7 FT, PREVAIL WEST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS, AND SEAS OF 4-6
FT, ARE FOUND ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS WILL PREVAIL OFFSHORE
BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH MIDWEEK BEFORE DIMINISHING SLIGHTLY.
ELSEWHERE, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, EXTENDING
DOWNSTREAM TO NEAR 88W. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE.
SEAS ARE MODERATE IN S-SW SWELL ACROSS THE WATERS, EXCEPT SLIGHT
OFFSHORE COLOMBIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH TONIGHT, AND THEN PULSING AT NIGHT
STARTING THU NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS IN SOUTHERLY SWELL ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE
WEEK. A SET OF SW SWELL MAY BUILD SEAS TO ROUGH SOUTH OF THE
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS ON FRI.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A RIDGE DOMINATES THE FORECAST WATERS NORTH OF THE ITCZ. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE
VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS
NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO 20N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. SEAS ARE 6-8 FT
OVER THESE WATERS. ELSEWHERE, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS ARE NOTED.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT FRESH
TRADES, STRONG AT TIMES, NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO ABOUT 20N AND WEST
OF 120W THROUGH THE WEEK, WITH SEAS OF 6-8 FT ACROSS THIS AREA.
MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE WEEK, EXCEPT SEAS BUILDING TO ROUGH SOUTH
OF THE EQUATOR BY MID-WEEK IN SOUTHERLY SWELL.
AL
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