946
AXPZ20 KNHC 060818
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC WED MAY 6 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0815 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N82W TO 05N124W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 05N124W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS NOTED FROM 01N TO 12N AND E OF 106W, AND FROM 04N TO 11N AND
W OF 113W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
MODERATE SW GAP WINDS ARE IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA,
WITH SEAS OF 4-5 FT. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS, AND SEAS OF 3 FT
OR LESS, ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. MODERATE WINDS,
AND SEAS OF 6-7 FT, PREVAIL WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS, AND SEAS OF 4-6 FT, ARE
NOTED ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS WILL PREVAIL OFFSHORE
BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH TODAY BEFORE DIMINISHING SLIGHTLY.
ELSEWHERE, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
MODERATE WINDS ARE OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, EXTENDING
DOWNSTREAM TO NEAR 88W. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE.
SEAS ARE MODERATE IN S-SW SWELL ACROSS THE WATERS, EXCEPT SLIGHT
OFFSHORE COLOMBIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH EASTERLY WINDS WILL PULSE AT
NIGHT IN THE PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH SAT NIGHT, THEN PULSE TO
STRONG SUN NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS IN SOUTHERLY SWELL ARE EXPECTED. A SET OF SW SWELL
MAY BRIEFLY BUILD SEAS TO ROUGH SOUTH OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS ON
FRI.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A RIDGE DOMINATES THE FORECAST WATERS NORTH OF THE ITCZ. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE
VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS
NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO 22N AND W OF 113W. SEAS ARE 6-9 FT IN THESE
WATERS, WITH HIGHEST VALUES W OF 135W. ELSEWHERE, GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE NOTED.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT FRESH
TRADES, STRONG AT TIMES, NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO ABOUT 22N AND WEST
OF 120W THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND, WITH
SEAS OF 7-9 FT ACROSS THIS AREA. MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
AND MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE WEEK, EXCEPT
ROUGH SEAS BUILDING SOUTH OF THE EQUATOR FROM THU-FRI NIGHT IN
SOUTHERLY SWELL.
ERA
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