624
AXPZ20 KNHC 071543
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC THU MAY 7 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N83W TO 06N90W TO 09N100W TO
05N120W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 05N120W TO BEYOND 07N140W.
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM
04N TO 07N BETWEEN 80W AND 90W, AND FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 95W
AND 110W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA, WHERE SEAS ARE IN THE 5-7 FT RANGE. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS, AND SEAS OF 2-4 FT, ARE NOTED IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS, AND SEAS OF 4-5 FT, PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE
EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST WATERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. GAP WINDS MAY STRENGTHEN IN
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ON MON NIGHT.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
MODERATE WINDS ARE OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, WHILE LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE MODERATE IN S-SW SWELL
ACROSS THE WATERS, EXCEPT SLIGHT OFFSHORE COLOMBIA. NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ACTIVE OFF THE COASTS OF WESTERN
PANAMA AND COSTA RICA.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH EASTERLY WINDS WILL PULSE AT
NIGHT IN THE PAPAGAYO REGION FRI NIGHT AND SAT NIGHT, THEN PULSE
TO STRONG SUN AND MON. ELSEWHERE, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS IN SOUTHERLY SWELL ARE EXPECTED. EXPECT LARGE SW
SWELL NEAR THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS FRI AND SAT.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE FORECAST WATERS NORTH OF THE ITCZ.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE IN
THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE
WINDS NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO 20N AND WEST OF 115W. SEAS ARE 6-9 FT
IN THESE WATERS, HIGHEST WEST OF 135W. ELSEWHERE, GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT FRESH
TRADES, STRONG AT TIMES, NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO ABOUT 20N AND WEST
OF 120W THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND, WITH
SEAS OF 7-9 FT ACROSS THIS AREA. MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
AND MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE WEEK, EXCEPT
ROUGH SEAS BUILDING SOUTH OF THE EQUATOR FROM THU-FRI NIGHT IN
SOUTHERLY SWELL.
CHRISTENSEN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page