782
AXPZ20 KNHC 080300
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC FRI MAY 8 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10.5N75.5W 08N83W TO 05.5N89W TO
08.5N98W TO 06N113W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 06N113W TO 07N138W
TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
IS NOTED FROM 04N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 78W AND 91W, AND FROM 00N TO
10N BETWEEN 86W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
IS NOTED FROM 05.5N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 102W AND 140W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHWESTERLY WINDS PREVAIL WEST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THIS EVENING, WHERE SEAS ARE 4 TO 6 FT IN
W-NW SWELL. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, WHILE GENTLE TO
MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE OCCURRING FROM SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE GULF TO LAS TRES MARIAS. SEAS ARE 1 TO 2 FT NORTH AND
CENTRAL PORTIONS AND 3-4 FT ELSEWHERE. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS, AND
SEAS OF 3-5 FT PREVAIL ELSEWHERE BETWEEN CABO CORRIENTES AND
TEHUANTEPEC.
FOR THE FORECAST, 1023 MB HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS NW OF THE AREA
TONIGHT, AND WILL DRIFT NE AND WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THIS PATTERN WILL PRODUCE GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST WATERS THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. LARGE NW SWELL
WILL APPROACH GUADALUPE ISLAND OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE BRIEFLY
SAT NIGHT AND SUN. LOOKING AHEAD, GAP WINDS MAY STRENGTHEN ALONG
WITH BUILDING SEAS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MON NIGHT THROUGH
TUE NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH SOUTHERN MEXICO.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
MODERATE TO FRESH E TO SE GAP WINDS EXTEND OFFSHORE OF THE
PAPAGAYO REGION TO NEAR 87W THIS EVENING, WHILE LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. MODERATE NW TO N WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO
SPILL INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF PANAMA. SEAS ARE
MODERATE IN S-SW SWELL ACROSS THE AREA WATERS, EXCEPT SLIGHT
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION REMAINS FROM OFFSHORE OF NICARAGUA
NEAR 90W TO COASTAL COLOMBIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH EASTERLY GAP WINDS WILL PULSE
AT NIGHT TO STRONG ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. ELSEWHERE, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN
SOUTHERLY SWELL ARE EXPECTED. EXPECT LARGE SW SWELL NEAR THE
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS FRI AND SAT.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE FORECAST WATERS NORTH OF THE ITCZ,
CENTERED ON A 1023 MB HIGH NEAR 31N133W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ
IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO
20N AND WEST OF 115W, AND N TO NE WINDS BETWEEN 110W AND 115W.
SEAS ARE 6-9 FT IN W-NW SWELL ACROSS THESE WATERS S OF 20N,
HIGHEST WEST OF 125W, AND 4 TO 6 FT N OF 20N. ELSEWHERE, GENTLE
TO MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN S-SW SWELL PREVAILS.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE RIDGE WILL CHANGE LITTLE ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE ASSOCIATED PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
SUPPORT FRESH TRADES, STRONG AT TIMES, NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO ABOUT
20N AND WEST OF 120W THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND THE
WEEKEND, WITH SEAS OF 7-8 FT ACROSS THIS AREA. MAINLY GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE THROUGH
THE WEEK. ROUGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN BUILDING SOUTHERLY SWELL S
OF THE EQUATOR FROM THU THROUGH SAT NIGHT.
STRIPLING
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