071
AXPZ20 KNHC 082117
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC FRI MAY 8 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 06N77W TO 09N105W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 09N105W TO 05N130W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO CONVECTION FROM 04N TO 06N BETWEEN 80W AND 85W, AND FROM 07N
TO 13N BETWEEN 95W AND 120W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
A RECENT SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS INDICATED MODERATE TO FRESH
NW WINDS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA, EAST OF 1028 MB HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED NEAR 31N132W. CONCURRENT ALTIMETER SATELLITE DATA SHOWED
5-6 FT SEAS. GENTLE BREEZES AND MODERATE SEAS IN A MIX OF NW AND
SW SWELL ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE WEST OF THE AREA WILL SUPPORT MODERATE
TO FRESH NW WINDS AND MODERATE TO ROUGH COMBINED SEAS IN NW SWELL OFF
BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE INTO SUN, BEFORE CONDITIONS IMPROVE
THEREAFTER AS THE HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS. THE PATTERN WILL SUPPORT
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ELSEWHERE INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. LOOKING AHEAD, STRONG GAP WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TUE THROUGH WED NIGHT AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH SOUTHERN MEXICO.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
RECENT SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE DATA INDICATED MOSTLY GENTLE TO
MODERATE BREEZES ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF CENTRAL AMERICA
AND SOUTHWARD TO ECUADOR. COMBINED SEAS ARE MOSTLY 4-6 FT EXCEPT
FOR 7 FT NEAR THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH EASTERLY GAP WINDS WILL PULSE AT
NIGHT TO STRONG ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. ELSEWHERE, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN
SOUTHERLY SWELL ARE EXPECTED. EXPECT LARGE SW SWELL TO REACH
NEAR THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS THROUGH SAT.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
RECENT SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE DATA INDICATED MODERATE TO FRESH
NE TRADE WINDS FROM 05N TO 20N WEST OF 120W, SOUTH OF 1028 MB
CENTERED NEAR 31N132W. CONCURRENT ALTIMETER SATELLITE DATA SHOWED
6-8 FT IN THIS AREA. MODERATE BREEZES AND 5-6 FT NORTH OF 20N,
WITH GENTLE BREEZES AND 5-7 FT COMBINED SEAS PRIMARILY IN SW
SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE RIDGE WILL CHANGE LITTLE ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH EARLY SUN BEFORE DRIFTING NORTHWARD AND WEAKENING. THE
ASSOCIATED PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT FRESH TRADES, STRONG AT
TIMES, NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO ABOUT 20N AND WEST OF 120W THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND, WITH SEAS OF 7-8
FT ACROSS THIS AREA. MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE WEEK. ROUGH SEAS
ARE EXPECTED IN BUILDING SOUTHERLY SWELL S OF THE EQUATOR TODAY
THROUGH SAT EVENING.
CHRISTENSEN
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