527
AXPZ20 KNHC 240801
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC SUN MAY 24 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0800 UTC.
..TROPICAL WAVES
THE AXIS OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR 82W AND N OF 05N, MOVING W
AT 10 KT. NEARBY CONVECTION IS NOTED IN THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH
SECTION BELOW.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N78W TO 07N91W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 07N91W TO 06N110W TO 11N122W TO BEYOND 07N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN
81W AND 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
IS NOTED FROM 03N TO 07N BETWEEN 108W AND 116W, AND FROM 05N TO
12N BETWEEN 124W AND 131W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT PREVAILS ACROSS THE DISCUSSION WATERS.
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS GENERALLY PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA,
EXCEPT LIGHT TO GENTLE SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. SEAS ARE IN THE
4-5 FT RANGE OVER THE OPEN WATERS, AND 2-3 FT OVER THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD MODESTLY ACROSS THE
REGION FROM THE W THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK. THIS WILL TIGHTEN THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE BAJA WATERS BY THIS AFTERNOON,
LEADING TO MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA
THROUGH MIDWEEK, WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SEAS. A SET OF NW
SWELL WILL MOVE INTO THE WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE
MIDWEEK, BRINGING ROUGH SEAS.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS ARE OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO.
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND THE
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE ACROSS
THE DISCUSSION WATERS. SEAS ARE 5-7 FT IN S SWELL BETWEEN
COLOMBIA AND THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS, AND 4-5 FT ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE GAP WINDS WILL PULSE TO FRESH AT
NIGHT ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH MON NIGHT. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS WILL PREVAIL BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND THE GALAPAGOS
ISLANDS TODAY. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.
FRESH SW SWELL WILL MOVE INTO THE GALAPAGOS AREA WATERS TODAY,
WITH SEAS BUILDING TO NEAR 8 FT.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE WATERS N OF 20N. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND LOWER
PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO
FRESH NE TRADE WINDS N OF THE ITCZ TO 20N AND WEST OF 110W,
WHERE SEAS ARE 6 TO 7 FT. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE
N OF THE ITCZ. MODERATE WINDS ARE FOUND S OF 04N, WITH LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS ELSEWHERE OVER THE DISCUSSION WATERS. SEAS OVER
THESE WATERS ARE IN THE 5-7 FT RANGE IN MIXED SW AND N TO NE
SWELL. SEAS ARE REACHING 8 FT SOUTH OF 05N AND W OF 95W.
FOR THE FORECAST, LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN WINDS AND SEAS THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. NW SWELL WILL ENTER THE NORTHERN WATERS BY MIDWEEK,
BRINGING ROUGH SEAS OVER THESE WATERS. TRADEWINDS WILL INCREASE
SLIGHTLY OVER THE WESTERN WATERS. THE COMBINATION OF WIND WAVES
DEVELOPING FROM THESE TRADES, AND NW SWELL WILL BRING ROUGH SEAS
OVER THESE WATERS.
AL
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