987
AXPZ20 KNHC 251542
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON MAY 25 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.
..TROPICAL WAVES
THE AXIS OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR 85W AND N OF 03N, MOVING
WEST AT 10 KT. NEARBY CONVECTION IS NOTED IN THE ITCZ/MONSOON
TROUGH SECTION BELOW.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N85W TO 08N100W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 08N100W TO 09N120W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 04N TO 13N EAST OF 100W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ACTIVE FROM 04N TO 12N BETWEEN
110W AND 135W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
HIGH PRESSURE HAS STARTED TO BUILD WEST OF THE REGION,
TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT SLIGHTLY. WITH THE TIGHTER
PRESSURE GRADIENT, MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE
WATERS WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND WEST OF CABO CORRIENTES. LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER
THE OPEN WATERS, AND 1-3 FT IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS WILL PREVAIL OFFSHORE
BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH MIDWEEK. A SET OF NW SWELL WILL MOVE INTO
THE WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE MIDWEEK, BRINGING ROUGH
SEAS. FRESH SW TO W GAP WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA TUE AND WED.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS ARE IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO.
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND THE
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS, AS WELL AS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE DISCUSSION WATERS. SEAS ARE
5-7 FT IN S SWELL BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS,
AND 4-6 FT ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH GAP WINDS WILL PULSE AT NIGHT ACROSS THE
PAPAGAYO REGION TONIGHT. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PREVAIL
BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THU.
LARGE SW SWELL WILL ENTER THE SOUTHERN WATERS FRI, BRINGING ROUGH
SEAS TO THE WATERS BETWEEN THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS AND COLOMBIA.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE WATERS NORTH OF 20N.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND
LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE
TO FRESH NE TRADE WINDS NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO 20N AND WEST OF
110W, WHERE SEAS ARE 6 TO 8 FT. GENTLE TO MODERATE NE WINDS ARE
ELSEWHERE NORTH OF THE ITCZ. GENTLE TO MODERATE SE WINDS ARE
FOUND SOUTH OF THE ITCZ. SEAS OVER THESE WATERS ARE IN THE 5-7 FT
RANGE IN MIXED SW AND N TO NE SWELL. SEAS ARE REACHING 8 FT
PRIMARILY IN SOUTHERLY SWELL SOUTH OF 03N BETWEEN 90W AND 100W.
FOR THE FORECAST, LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN WINDS THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. LARGE NW TO N SWELL GENERATED BY A STORM FORCE LOW WELL
N OF THE AREA WILL ENTER WATERS NORTH OF 25N BY MIDWEEK,
BRINGING ROUGH SEAS OVER THESE WATERS. THE COMBINATION OF WIND
WAVES DEVELOPING FROM FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG TRADES N OF THE
ITCZ AND W OF 120W, AND A MIX OF N AND S SWELL, WILL BRING ROUGH
SEAS OVER THESE WATERS.
CHRISTENSEN
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