059
AXPZ20 KNHC 260803
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC TUE MAY 26 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0800 UTC.
..TROPICAL WAVES
THE AXIS OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR 88W AND N OF 03N, MOVING
WEST AT 10 KT. NEARBY CONVECTION IS NOTED IN THE ITCZ/MONSOON
TROUGH SECTION BELOW.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 08N102W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 08N102W TO 10N133W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 01N TO 08N BETWEEN
84W AND 100W, AND FROM 03N TO 12N BETWEEN 112W AND 140W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 30N135W THROUGH THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND A SURFACE
TROUGH OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO
FRESH WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS ARE SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND WEST OF CABO
CORRIENTES. MODERATE TO FRESH GAP WINDS ARE FUNNELING INTO THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE.
SEAS ARE IN THE 5-7 FT RANGE OVER THE OPEN WATERS, AND 1-3 FT IN
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS WILL PREVAIL OFFSHORE
BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. A SET OF NW SWELL
WILL MOVE INTO THE WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE BY MIDWEEK,
SUPPORTING COMBINED SEAS AS HIGH AS 9 FT. FRESH SW TO W GAP WINDS
WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TUE AND WED.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH WINDS ARE FOUND ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO . GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND THE GALAPAGOS
ISLANDS. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
DISCUSSION WATERS. SEAS ARE 5-7 FT IN S SWELL BETWEEN COLOMBIA
AND THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS, AND 4-6 FT ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH GAP WINDS WILL PULSE ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO
REGION THROUGH TUE, WITH MODERATE WINDS THEREAFTER. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS WILL PREVAIL BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND THE GALAPAGOS
ISLANDS. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. MODERATE
SEAS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THU. LARGE SW SWELL WILL ENTER THE
WATERS SOUTH OF THE EQUATOR FRI, BRINGING ROUGH SEAS TO THE
WATERS BETWEEN THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS AND COLOMBIA.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE WATERS NORTH OF 20N.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND
LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE
TO FRESH NE TRADE WINDS NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO 20N AND WEST OF
115W, WHERE SEAS ARE 6 TO 8 FT. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
ELSEWHERE NORTH OF THE ITCZ. GENTLE TO MODERATE SE WINDS ARE
FOUND SOUTH OF THE ITCZ. SEAS OVER THESE WATERS ARE IN THE 5-7 FT
RANGE IN MIXED SW AND N TO NE SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN WINDS THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. LARGE NW TO N SWELL GENERATED BY A DEEP LOW WELL N OF
THE AREA WILL ENTER WATERS NORTH OF 27N BY MIDWEEK, WITH WAVE
HEIGHTS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT SPREADING AS FAR SOUTH AS 20N BY FRI,
THEN SUBSIDING. THE COMBINATION OF WIND WAVES DEVELOPING FROM
FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG TRADES N OF THE ITCZ AND W OF 120W, AND A
MIX OF N AND S SWELL, WILL BRING ROUGH SEAS OVER THESE WATERS.
AL
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