264  
ABPZ20 KNHC 311719  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
1100 AM PDT SUN MAY 31 2026  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA:  
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN  
TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE  
FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM  
DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK WHILE MOVING WESTWARD OR  
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE  
EAST PACIFIC.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.  
 
EASTERN EAST PACIFIC:  
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MAY DEVELOP LATE THIS WEEK OR EARLY NEXT  
WEEK SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF MEXICO AND GUATEMALA.  
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF  
THIS SYSTEM THEREAFTER, WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD TO  
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER KELLY  
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