526  
ABPZ20 KNHC 041151  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
500 AM PDT THU JUN 4 2026  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:  
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL  
STORM AMANDA, LOCATED WELL WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF  
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.  
 
OFFSHORE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:  
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED WELL OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN  
MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR  
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO  
FORM DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD OR  
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.  
 
EASTERN EAST PACIFIC:  
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL  
AMERICA AND SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF  
THIS SYSTEM THEREAFTER, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATE  
THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER REINHART/ADAMS  
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