156
ABPZ20 KNHC 050519
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT THU JUN 4 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM AMANDA, LOCATED WELL WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
OFFSHORE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED WELL OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO
FORM DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY
NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...30 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AMERICA:
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AMERICA IS PRODUCING
SOME DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WHILE IT
MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
FORECASTER BERG
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