840
ABPZ20 KNHC 051135
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI JUN 5 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM AMANDA, LOCATED WELL WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
OFFSHORE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED WELL OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO
FORM LATE THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE DISTURBANCE IS
FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD OR NORTHWARD NEAR THE COAST
OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AMERICA:
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AMERICA IS PRODUCING
DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT
WEEK IF THE SYSTEM REMAINS OFFSHORE. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE
SLOWLY NORTHWARD TOWARD THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT, LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NICARAGUA, EL SALVADOR, AND GUATEMALA.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...30 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
FORECASTER BROWN/ADAMS
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