007
ABPZ20 KNHC 051736
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT FRI JUN 5 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM AMANDA, LOCATED WELL WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
OFFSHORE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO (EP91):
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST
OF ZIHUATANEJO, MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO
FORM LATE THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE DISTURBANCE IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD THEN NORTHWARD NEAR THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO. INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AMERICA:
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AMERICA IS PRODUCING
DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM,
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY
NEXT WEEK IF THE SYSTEM REMAINS OFFSHORE. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO
MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD TOWARD THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA, EL SALVADOR, AND GUATEMALA.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...30 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
FORECASTER ADAMS/BROWN
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