147
ABPZ20 KNHC 060507
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI JUN 5 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM AMANDA, LOCATED WELL EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
OFFSHORE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO (EP91):
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST
OF ZIHUATANEJO, MEXICO, IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO
FORM LATE THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE DISTURBANCE IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND THEN NORTHWARD NEAR THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT, LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AMERICA:
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL
AMERICA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD TOWARD THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA,
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY
NEXT WEEK IF THE SYSTEM REMAINS OFFSHORE. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT,
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF COSTA RICA,
NICARAGUA, EL SALVADOR, AND GUATEMALA THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
FORECASTER GIBBS
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