125
ABPZ20 KNHC 061115
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT JUN 6 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM AMANDA, LOCATED WELL EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
OFFSHORE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO (EP91):
OVERNIGHT SATELLITE-DERIVED WIND DATA DEPICT AN ELONGATED AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO,
MEXICO. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SYSTEM HAS GRADUALLY INCREASED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM SUNDAY OR EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THE DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWARD
NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AMERICA:
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AMERICA
ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD TOWARD THE COAST OF CENTRAL
AMERICA. IF THE SYSTEM REMAINS OFFSHORE, A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF COSTA RICA, NICARAGUA,
EL SALVADOR, AND GUATEMALA THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
FORECASTER ROBERTS
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