867
ABPZ20 KNHC 070519
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT JUN 6 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION AMANDA, LOCATED WELL EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS.
OFFSHORE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO (EP91):
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ZIHUATANEJO, MEXICO IS PRODUCING A BROAD AREA OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. RECENT SATELLITE-DERIVED WIND DATA
INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM STILL LACKS A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION.
HOWEVER, THE DISTURBANCE IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED, AND
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY FORM ON SUNDAY. THE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND THEN NORTHWARD, AND WILL APPROACH
THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. INTERESTS IN
SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.
OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AMERICA (EP92):
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AMERICA HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN
ORGANIZATION DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
IS STILL EXPECTED, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD
TOWARD THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA. INTERESTS ALONG THE PACIFIC
COASTS OF NORTHWESTERN COSTA RICA, NICARAGUA, HONDURAS, AND EL
SALVADOR SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT, HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF COSTA RICA, NICARAGUA, EL SALVADOR, AND
GUATEMALA THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
FORECASTER GIBBS
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