501
WTPZ43 KNHC 081745
TCDEP3
TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032026
1200 PM CST MON JUN 08 2026
RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA HAS REVEALED RELIABLE SURFACE WINDS UP TO
TROPICAL-STORM-STRENGTH. THEREFORE, A SPECIAL ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED UPGRADING TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E TO TROPICAL STORM
CRISTINA WITH AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 40 KT. THE TROPICAL
STORM RADII FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED ACCORDINGLY AS WELL.
CRISTINA CONTINUES TO MOVE ALONG THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE MODEL
GUIDANCE. SHOULD THE TROPICAL STORM MAINTAIN A NORTHWARD
TRAJECTORY FOR LONGER THAN EXPECTED, IT COULD BRING
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS TO THE CENTRAL AMERICAN COAST SOONER
THAN PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED.
THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING RELEASED IN LIEU OF THE 1800 UTC
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY.
KEY MESSAGES:
1. HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E WILL
IMPACT COASTAL PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS
RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES,
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
2. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF
NICARAGUA, EL SALVADOR, AND HONDURAS AS EARLY AS THIS EVENING.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 08/1800Z 11.7N 87.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 09/0000Z 11.9N 87.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 09/1200Z 12.2N 88.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 10/0000Z 12.4N 88.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 10/1200Z 12.7N 89.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 11/0000Z 13.1N 89.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 11/1200Z 14.0N 90.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 12/1200Z 16.1N 92.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED
FORECASTER BUCCI
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