664
AXPZ20 KNHC 111441
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC THU JUN 11 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1430 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 14N91W TO 08N103W TO
10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 02N TO 07N
BETWEEN 85W AND 91W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 90W AND 98W, FROM 03N
TO 09N BETWEEN 98W AND 123W, AND FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 130W AND
140W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT PREVAILS ACROSS THE AREA. WITH THE WEAK
PRESSURE GRADIENT, WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER AND SEAS ARE
MAINLY MODERATE OR LESS. THE ONE EXCEPTION IS WELL OFFSHORE BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE, WHERE NORTHERLY SWELL IS PRODUCING ROUGH SEAS.
FOR THE FORECAST, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE
WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. GENTLE TO MODERATE, LOCALLY FRESH, SW
TO S WINDS ARE EXPECTED INSIDE THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND NEAR
THE TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE NW TO
W WINDS WILL DOMINATE THE WATERS BETWEEN CABO CORRIENTES AND
TEHUNATEPEC THROUGH FRI, THEN WEAKEN INTO THE WEEKEND. ROUGH SEAS
IN MIXED SWELLS OFF BAJA NORTE WILL LINGER THROUGH TODAY BEFORE
DECAYING. WINDS AND SEAS MAY BE HIGHER TODAY IN ANY DEEP
CONVECTION OFF SOUTHERN MEXICO INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL BETWEEN THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS AND
COLOMBIA. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE FOUND ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE
5-7 FT IN DECAYING S-SW SWELL ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS TODAY INTO THE WEEKEND,
EXCEPT LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS IN NEW SOUTHERLY SWELL NEAR THE
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. WINDS MAY PULSE TO
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH IN DIURNAL OFFSHORE FLOW IN THE
IMMEDIATE GULF OF PAPAGAYO AND NEAR THE GULF OF GUAYAQUIL DURING
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A RIDGE OF EXTENDS FROM A 1028 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 39N140W SE
TO NEAR 24N127W. BROAD TROUGHING PREVAILS EAST OF 127W. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE, AND BROAD
TROUGHING IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS N OF 21N AND W OF
125W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE
WITHING THE MONSOON TROUGH IS SUPPORTING GENTLE TO MODERATE
WINDS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH TO 21N AND WEST OF 130W. LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS ARE FOUND ELSEWHERE N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. S OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL, REACHING
LOCALLY FRESH SPEEDS. NORTHERLY SWELL IS BRINGING ROUGH SEAS OVER
THE WATERS N OF 28N BETWEEN 120W AND 131W. MAINLY MODERATE SEAS
ARE FOUND ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LOOSEN W OF THE
ELONGATED TROUGHING, WITH WINDS DIMINISHING THERE SLIGHTLY
TODAY. WINDS WILL THEN BE MODERATE OR WEAKER ACROSS THE ENTIRE
OPEN WATERS, EXCEPT AT LEAST MODERATE TO FRESH NEAR TRANSIENT
EMBEDDED LOW PRESSURE AREAS ALONG WESTERN PORTION OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH. NORTHERLY SWELLS MIXED WITH THE LONGER PERIOD SOUTHERLY
SWELLS WITH SEAS OF 7-9 FT WILL LINGER ACROSS THE N-CENTRAL
WATERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK BEFORE DECAYING.
OTHERWISE, MODERATE SEAS WILL DOMINATE THE OPEN WATERS, LOCALLY
ROUGH IN THE S-CENTRAL WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, AS
WELL AS NEAR ANY OF THE EMBEDDED LOWS WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH.
AL
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