146
AXPZ20 KNHC 111931
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC THU JUN 11 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1930 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 13N92W TO 08N104W TO
09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 03N TO 08N
BETWEEN 83W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 89W AND 96W, FROM
03N TO 09N BETWEEN 95W AND 124W, AND FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN
129W AND 140W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT PREVAILS ACROSS THE AREA. WITH THE WEAK
PRESSURE GRADIENT, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE OPEN
WATERS OFF MEXICO. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA AS WELL AS OFF CABO SAN LUCAS. SEAS ARE IN THE 5-7 FT
RANGE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO, AND 3 FT OR LESS IN THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE
WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. GENTLE TO MODERATE, LOCALLY FRESH, SW
TO S WINDS ARE EXPECTED INSIDE THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND NEAR
THE TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE NW TO
W WINDS WILL DOMINATE THE WATERS BETWEEN CABO CORRIENTES AND
TEHUNATEPEC THROUGH FRI, THEN WEAKEN INTO THE WEEKEND.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL BETWEEN THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS
AND COLOMBIA. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE FOUND ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE
IN THE 5-7 FT RANGE BETWEEN THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS AND COLOMBIA,
REACHING 8 FT SOUTH OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE, SEAS
ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE IN DECAYING S-SW SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS INTO THE WEEKEND, EXCEPT
LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS IN NEW SOUTHERLY SWELL NEAR THE GALAPAGOS
ISLANDS TONIGHT. WINDS MAY PULSE TO MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH IN
DIURNAL OFFSHORE FLOW IN THE IMMEDIATE GULF OF PAPAGAYO AND NEAR
THE GULF OF GUAYAQUIL DURING THE UPCOMING WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ENTERS THE NW WATERS NEAR 30N140W AND
EXTENDS SE TO NEAR 20N122W. BROAD TROUGHING PREVAILS EAST OF
122W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE,
AND BROAD TROUGHING IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS N OF
22N AND W OF 125W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND
LOWER PRESSURE WITHING THE MONSOON TROUGH IS SUPPORTING GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH TO 22N AND WEST OF 130W.
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE FOUND ELSEWHERE N OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH. S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
PREVAIL, REACHING LOCALLY FRESH SPEEDS E OF 110W. NORTHERLY SWELL
IS BRINGING ROUGH SEAS OVER THE WATERS N OF 28N BETWEEN 122W AND
131W. MAINLY MODERATE SEAS ARE FOUND ELSEWHERE N OF THE EQUATOR.
S OF THE EQUATOR, SEAS ARE IN THE 7-8 FT RANGE IN SW SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LOOSEN W OF THE
ELONGATED TROUGHING, WITH WINDS DIMINISHING THERE SLIGHTLY
THROUGH FRI. WINDS WILL THEN BE MODERATE OR WEAKER ACROSS THE
ENTIRE OPEN WATERS, EXCEPT AT LEAST MODERATE TO FRESH NEAR
TRANSIENT EMBEDDED LOW PRESSURE AREAS ALONG WESTERN PORTION OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH. NORTHERLY SWELLS MIXED WITH THE LONGER PERIOD
SOUTHERLY SWELLS WITH SEAS OF 7-9 FT WILL LINGER ACROSS THE
N-CENTRAL WATERS THROUGH FRI NIGHT BEFORE DECAYING. OTHERWISE,
MODERATE SEAS WILL DOMINATE THE OPEN WATERS, LOCALLY ROUGH IN THE
S-CENTRAL WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, AS WELL AS NEAR
ANY OF THE EMBEDDED LOWS WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH.
AL
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