703
AXPZ20 KNHC 131507
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SAT JUN 13 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1430 UTC.
..TROPICAL WAVES
THE AXIS OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR 79W EXTENDING FROM THE
CARIBBEAN SOUTHWARD, MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED E OF 82W.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N84W TO 11N100W TO 07N140W.
TWO LOWS ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ONE IS A 1007 MB
LOW NEAR 08N127W, AND THE OTHER A 1007 MB LOW NEAR 08N136W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 05N TO 12N BETWEEN
95W AND 113W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED
ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOWS FROM 03N TO
09N BETWEEN 122W AND 140W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT PREVAILS ACROSS THE AREA. WITH THE WEAK
PRESSURE GRADIENT, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE
DISCUSSION WATERS, EXCEPT GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE WINDS OFF
CABO SAN LUCAS AND NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. SEAS ARE IN
THE 5-6 FT RANGE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO, AND 3 FT OR
LESS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE
WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH TONIGHT, INCREASING SLIGHTLY
THEREAFTER. GENTLE TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE S TO SW WINDS ARE
EXPECTED INSIDE THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND NEAR THE TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS WILL DOMINATE THE WATERS
BETWEEN CABO CORRIENTES AND TEHUNATEPEC.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
MODERATE TO FRESH, LOCALLY STRONG WINDS PREVAIL IN THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE FOUND BETWEEN THE
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS AND COLOMBIA, AS WELL AS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA.
GENTLE WINDS ARE FOUND ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 5-7 FT RANGE
BETWEEN THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS AND COLOMBIA, AND 4-6 FT ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WINDS
MAY PULSE TO MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH IN DIURNAL OFFSHORE FLOW
IN THE IMMEDIATE GULF OF PAPAGAYO AND NEAR THE GULF OF GUAYAQUIL
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
BROAD TROUGHING PREVAILS ACROSS THE WATERS N OF 15N. A WEAK
PRESSURE GRADIENT IS SUPPORTING MAINLY LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS N OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH. TWO AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN
THE MONSOON TROUGH, ONE IS A 1007 MB LOW NEAR 08N127W, AND THE
OTHER A 1007 MB LOW NEAR 08N136W. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE S
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND W OF 124W, REACHING STRONG SPEEDS S OF
TWO AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
ELSEWHERE S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. NORTHERLY SWELL THAT HAS
IMPACTED THE NORTHERN WATERS CONTINUES TO SUBSIDE, WITH SEAS
REACHING TO 8 FT COVERING A SMALL AREA N OF 28.5N BETWEEN 131W AND
138W. MAINLY MODERATE SEAS ARE FOUND ELSEWHERE, EXCEPT ROUGH SEAS TO
9 FT IN THE WATERS SOUTH OF THE TWO AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE NORTHERLY SWELL WILL SUBSIDE FURTHER
TODAY. FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG WINDS, AND ROUGH SEAS, ARE
EXPECTED NEAR THE LOW PRESSURE AREAS ALONG WESTERN PORTION OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE OR
WEAKER WINDS, AND MODERATE SEAS, WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE OPEN
WATERS.
AL
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