494
AXPZ20 KNHC 140346
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN JUN 14 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0346 UTC.
..TROPICAL WAVES
THE AXIS OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR 82W EXTENDING FROM THE
CARIBBEAN SOUTHWARD, MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 1.5N TO PANAMA AND E
OF 86W.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 8.5N84W TO 09N110W TO 06N140W.
TWO AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH,
ONE IS A 1008 MB LOW NEAR 09N125W, AND THE OTHER A 1009 MB LOW
NEAR 09N134W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 04N TO
13N BETWEEN 96W AND 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THE VICINITY OF
THE LOWS FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 121W AND 137W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
WEAK 1015 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED WEST OF THE AREA NEAR
27N123W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
TO BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THESE
FEATURES IS SUPPORTING GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE NW WINDS WEST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS, AND OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. A WEAK PRESSURE
GRADIENT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS IS
SUPPORTING LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE WATERS SOUTH OF
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE
OVER THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO, AND 3 FT OR LESS IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, GENTLE TO MODERATE NW WINDS WILL PREVAIL
ACROSS THE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
THEREAFTER, A TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT MAINLY
MODERATE NW WINDS PULSING TO LOCALLY FRESH SPEEDS AT NIGHT.
GENTLE TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE S TO SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED INSIDE
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND NEAR THE TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL ALSO TIGHTEN INSIDE THE GULF BY MID-WEEK,
SUPPORTING MODERATE TO LOCALLY SE WINDS. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
WILL DOMINATE THE WATERS BETWEEN CABO CORRIENTES AND TEHUNATEPEC.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION ABOVE FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE AREA.
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH NE WINDS PREVAIL IN THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO. GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE S TO SW WINDS ARE FOUND
BETWEEN THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS AND COLOMBIA. GENTLE WINDS ARE
FOUND ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 5-6 FT RANGE BETWEEN THE
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS AND COLOMBIA, AND 4-6 FT ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
MODERATE WINDS WILL PULSE TO FRESH IN DIURNAL OFFSHORE FLOW IN
THE IMMEDIATE GULF OF PAPAGAYO INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, POSSIBLY
REACHING STRONG SPEEDS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUN AS A TROPICAL
WAVE APPROACHING THE AREA ENHANCES GAP FLOW.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT IS SUPPORTING LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS,
LOCALLY MODERATE, N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. TWO AREAS OF LOW
PRESSURE ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH, ONE IS A 1008
MB LOW NEAR 09N125W, AND THE OTHER A 1009 MB LOW NEAR 09N134W.
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND W OF
121W, REACHING STRONG SPEEDS S OF TWO AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE.
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH.
ROUGH SEAS TO 10 FT ARE OVER THE WATERS S OF THE TWO LOWS, WITH
MAINLY MODERATE SEAS FOUND ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG WINDS, AND ROUGH
SEAS, ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE LOW PRESSURE AREAS ALONG WESTERN
PORTION OF THE MONSOON TROUGH INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ELSEWHERE,
MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS, AND MODERATE SEAS, WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE OPEN WATERS.
KRV
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