997
ABNT20 KNHC 151731
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON JUN 15 2026
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:
NORTHWESTERN GULF OF AMERICA:
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO IS
PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO WHILE THE
TROUGH REMAINS INLAND. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM COULD RE-EMERGE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN GULF OF AMERICA LATE TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY, AND
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS THERE ARE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR THE
FORMATION OF A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY.
REGARDLESS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION, INTERESTS ACROSS SOUTHERN
AND EASTERN TEXAS AND PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI SHOULD
PREPARE FOR PERIODS OF INTENSE RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
WHICH COULD PRODUCE WIDESPREAD, LIFE-THREATENING FLASH, URBAN, AND
RIVER FLOODING. GUSTY WINDS AND COASTAL FLOODING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST, AND TROPICAL STORM
WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED ON TUESDAY. ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE OR NHC KEY MESSAGES.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
FORECASTER BLAKE
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