856  
FONT11 KNHC 170234  
PWSAT1  
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012026  
0300 UTC WED JUN 17 2026  
 
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WAS LOCATED  
NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM  
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
GFAM 280N 930W 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
FORT POLK LA 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
LAKE CHARLES 34 X 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)  
 
CAMERON LA 34 X 30(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)  
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
GALVESTON TX 34 3 14(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)  
 
GFAM 280N 950W 34 12 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)  
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
MATAGORDA TX 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
PORT O CONNOR 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 

 
FORECASTER PASCH  
 
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