286  
FZNT25 KNHC 170316  
OFFN04  
 
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL  
1116 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2026  
 
...PLEASE REFER TO COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE  
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR DETAILED  
COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS...  
 
SOUTHEAST GULF OF AMERICA  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE IS ALONG THE SE TEXAS  
COAST NEAR 27.6N 97.1W AT 11 PM EDT, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 KT.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. MINIMUM  
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. ONE WILL MOVE NE AND JUST OFFSHORE  
OF THE TEXAS COAST THROUGH WED, REACHING NEAR 28.5N 95.6W WED  
MORNING AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION, MOVE TO NEAR 30.2N 93.3W WED  
EVENING AS IT BRIEFLY STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH,  
THEN CONTINUE INLAND TO 32.1N 90.9W THU MORNING, BEFORE  
DISSIPATING THU EVENING ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL LOUISIANA. LARGE SW  
TO S SWELL GENERATED BY THE POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE IS LIKELY  
TO CAUSE LARGE AND DANGEROUS SURF AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP  
CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN AND NORTH-CENTRAL GULF  
COAST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. OTHERWISE, A TIGHTENING  
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE BASIN WILL SUSTAIN FRESH TO STRONG  
SOUTHERLY WINDS OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF WED THROUGH  
LATE THU NIGHT, AND MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE EASTERN  
GULF. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATE FRI AS HIGH PRESSURE  
SETTLES IN OVER THE EASTERN GULF.  
   
OVERNIGHT
 
SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.   
WED
 
S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
WED NIGHT
 
SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
THU
 
SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
THU NIGHT
 
SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
FRI
 
SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
FRI NIGHT
 
SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
SAT
 
SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT, SHIFTING TO N TO NE IN THE  
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.    
SAT NIGHT
 
N TO NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT, SHIFTING TO E TO SE AFTER  
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.    
SUN
 
NE TO E WINDS LESS THAN 5 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.    
SUN NIGHT
 
E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.  
 
WITHIN 200 NM EAST OF THE COAST OF FLORIDA  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 28N54W EXTENDS A  
RIDGE WESTWARD ALONG 27N AND ACROSS S FLORIDA, AND WILL  
DOMINATE THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH FRI, THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN  
FRI NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A COLD FRONT MOVES OFF THE SE  
U.S COAST. THE RELATED PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE  
TO LOCALLY FRESH TRADE WINDS SOUTH OF 22N THROUGH FRI,  
DIMINISHING SLIGHTLY FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT. MODERATE TO LOCALLY  
FRESH SW WINDS OFFSHORE OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA TO NEAR 72W TONIGHT  
WILL EXPAND EASTWARD TO NEAR 65W THROUGH WED, AS A WEAK FRONTAL  
SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED  
TO MOVE OFFSHORE EARLY SAT AND STALL OFFSHORE NORTHEAST FLORIDA  
TO BERMUDA BY SUN.  
   
OVERNIGHT
 
SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT S OF 27N, AND S TO SW 10 TO  
15 KT N OF 27N. SEAS 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
WED
 
SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S OF 27N, AND S TO SW 10 TO  
15 KT N OF 27N. SEAS 3 FT.    
WED NIGHT
 
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S OF 27N, AND S 10 TO 15 KT N  
OF 27N. SEAS 3 FT.    
THU
 
SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.   
THU NIGHT
 
SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.    
FRI
 
SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.    
FRI NIGHT
 
SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
SAT
 
S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.   
SAT NIGHT
 
S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
SUN
 
S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.    
SUN NIGHT
 
SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.  
 
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