026
AXPZ20 KNHC 190310
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC FRI JUN 19 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0305 UTC.
..TROPICAL WAVES
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 86W, SOUTH OF 19N, MOVING AT AROUND 10
KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED
NORTH OF 07N AND BETWEEN 84W AND 89W.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 95W, SOUTH OF 16N, MOVING VERY SLOWLY
WESTWARD AT AROUND 5 KT. A FEW SHOWERS ARE NOTED NEAR THE TROUGH
AXIS.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 114W, SOUTH OF 18N, MOVING VERY SLOWLY
WESTWARD AROUND 5 KT. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
OCCURRING FROM 04N TO 17N AND BETWEEN 106W AND 118W.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF COSTA RICA NEAR
11N86W TO 15N103W AND TO 08N123W. THE ITCZ STRETCHES FROM 07N123W
TO BEYOND 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 02N TO 08N AND BETWEEN 90W AND 95W.
SIMILAR CONVECTION IS SEEN FROM 05N TO 13N AND WEST OF 121W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF MEXICO. THE
MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE STRONG RIDGE IN THE NE
PACIFIC AND LOWER PRESSURES IN NW MEXICO RESULT IN MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. SEAS IN THESE WATERS ARE 4-6 FT. IN THE REMAINDER OF
THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC,
MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, EXCEPT
PULSING TO LOCALLY FRESH SPEEDS AT NIGHT THROUGH THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. GENTLE TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
INSIDE THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND NEAR THE TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOOKING AHEAD,
GAP WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MAY PULSE TO FRESH TO
STRONG STARTING LATE TUE NIGHT.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FORCES MODERATE EASTERLY
TRADE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO.
MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS
ARE PRESENT SOUTH OF THE EQUATOR. ELSEWHERE, LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS
AND MODERATE TO LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE
OFFSHORE WATERS BETWEEN ECUADOR AND THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODERATE WINDS WILL PULSE TO FRESH SPEEDS IN
DIURNAL OFFSHORE FLOW IN THE IMMEDIATE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH
AT LEAST TUE NIGHT. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE
SEAS IN SOUTHWEST SWELL ARE FORECAST ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED WELL NORTH OF THE AREA DOMINATES THE
REMAINDER OF THE TROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC. MODERATE NE-E WINDS
AND MODERATE SEAS ARE FOUND NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO 20N AND WEST OF
120W. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SE WINDS AND SEAS OF 6-8 FT ARE
NOTED SOUTH OF 05N AND EAST OF 120W. ELSEWHERE, LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE PREVALENT.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE OLD SOUTHERLY SWELL ACROSS THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL WATERS WILL GRADUALLY DECAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK,
THEN, SEAS WILL BUILD TO ROUGH AGAIN SOUTH OF AND NEAR THE
EQUATOR AND EAST OF 120W BEGINNING SAT AS A NEW SET OF SOUTHERLY
SWELL BEGINS TO MOVE THROUGH THIS PART OF THE AREA. WINDS MAY
PULSE TO FRESH SPEEDS IN THE WEST-CENTRAL WATERS AT TIMES.
OTHERWISE, LITTLE OVERALL CHANGES ARE EXPECTED IN AND WINDS AND
SEAS THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DELGADO
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