370
AXPZ20 KNHC 191604
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC FRI JUN 19 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.
..TROPICAL WAVES
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 88W, SOUTH OF 16N, MOVING WEST AT 5 TO 10
KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NEAR THE WAVE AXIS.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 97W, SOUTH OF 15N, MOVING WEST AT 5 TO 10
KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED
FROM 02N TO 08N AND BETWEEN 90W AND 98W, AND FROM 10N TO 16N
BETWEEN 98W AND 103W.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 115W, SOUTH OF 18N, MOVING WEST AT 5 TO 10
KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM
07N TO 16N BETWEEN 110W AND 118W.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N83W TO 07N95W TO 12N112 TO
06N128W. THE ITCZ STRETCHES FROM 06N128W TO BEYOND 04N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 04N TO 12N AND
BETWEEN 120W AND 133W. ASIDE FROM THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
THE TROPICAL WAVES, SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM
06N TO 11N BETWEEN 126W TO 136W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
A RIDGE DOMINATES THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH NW TO N WINDS N OF CABO SAN LAZARO,
AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS BETWEEN CABO SAN LAZARO AND CABO SAN
LUCAS. MODERATE SEAS ARE WITHIN THESE WINDS. IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL WITH SLIGHT SEAS,
EXCEPT NEAR THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF WHERE SEAS OF 3 TO 4 FT ARE
NOTED. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, INCLUDING
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO
MODERATE SEAS IN SW SWELL PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, A RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE OFFSHORE
WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PROMOTING GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHERLY
WINDS, EXCEPT FOR LOCALLY FRESH SPEEDS PULSING AT NIGHT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. LOOKING AHEAD, A SURFACE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE WILL FORCE FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY GAP WINDS
IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC LATE TUE NIGHT INTO WED, WITH SEAS
BUILDING TO 8 OR 9 FT BY WED NIGHT.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS AND SEAS OF 4 TO 6 FT ARE
FOUND SOUTH OF 03N. ELSEWHERE, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND SLIGHT
TO MODERATE SEAS IN SW SWELL PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS AND MODERATE
SEAS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS BETWEEN ECUADOR AND
THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. MEANWHILE, MODERATE
TO FRESH NE TO E WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE PAPAGAYO REGION MOST
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE
SEAS IN SOUTHWEST SWELL ARE FORECAST ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
A RIDGE DOMINATE MOST OF THE WATERS N OF 1%N AND W OF 110W, SUPPORTING
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH NE TO E WINDS ACROSS THE TRADE WIND ZONE,
PARTICULARLY W OF 120W. ELSEWHERE, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS ARE PREVALENT.
FOR THE FORECAST, ADDITIONAL PULSES OF SW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO
PROPAGATE ACROSS THE FORECAST WATERS E OF 120W GENERATING MODERATE
TO LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS. OTHERWISE, LITTLE CHANGES ARE EXPECTED IN
WINDS AND SEAS THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
GR
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