021
ABPZ20 KNHC 230501
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON JUN 22 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
CENTRAL AND WESTERN PORTION OF THE EAST PACIFIC (EP94):
A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PORTION OF THE EAST PACIFIC BASIN, AND SOME DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE IT MOVES INTO
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS LATE THIS WEEK.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...30 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...30 PERCENT.
WELL OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO FORM LATE THIS WEEK SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. SOME
SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AFTER THAT TIME, AND IT
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK
WHILE IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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