845
ABPZ20 KNHC 232329
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE JUN 23 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
CENTRAL AND WESTERN PORTION OF THE EAST PACIFIC (EP94):
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION
WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA. HOWEVER, EARLIER SATELLITE WIND DATA SUGGEST THE SYSTEM
LACKS A WELL-DEFINED CENTER. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD STILL FORM
WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO WHILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. BY THURSDAY, THE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, ENDING ITS CHANCES
FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
CENTRAL AND WESTERN EAST PACIFIC:
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO FORM THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT
WEEK OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE EAST PACIFIC BASIN. SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AFTER THAT TIME, AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BY THE EARLY TO MID PART OF NEXT
WEEK WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
FORECASTER PAPIN
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