727
ABPZ20 KNHC 240544
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE JUN 23 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
CENTRAL AND WESTERN PORTION OF THE EAST PACIFIC (EP94):
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. RECENT SATELLITE WIND DATA SUGGEST
THE CIRCULATION IS A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD STILL FORM WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO WHILE ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING
TO THE WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH, AND BY THURSDAY IT IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, ENDING ITS CHANCES
FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
CENTRAL AND WESTERN EAST PACIFIC:
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO FORM THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT
WEEK OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE EAST PACIFIC BASIN.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM THEREAFTER. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD
FORM BY THE EARLY TO MID PART OF NEXT WEEK AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
FORECASTER PAPIN
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