334  
ABPZ20 KNHC 071149  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
500 AM PDT TUE JUL 7 2026  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
CENTRAL PACIFIC:  
A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF  
THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IS CURRENTLY PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR  
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM LATER THIS WEEK INTO THE  
WEEKEND, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BY THAT TIME AS THE  
SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL  
PACIFIC, REMAINING SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.  
 
OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:  
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO FORM LATE THIS WEEKEND OR  
EARLY NEXT WEEK SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE COAST OF  
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AFTER THAT  
TIME AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...30 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER PAPIN/KATZ  
 
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