231  
ABPZ20 KNHC 080503  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
1100 PM PDT TUE JUL 7 2026  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
CENTRAL PACIFIC:  
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED WELL SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN  
ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF  
THIS SYSTEM LATER THIS WEEK AND INTO THIS WEEKEND, AND A TROPICAL  
DEPRESSION COULD FORM AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD TO  
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PACIFIC, REMAINING WELL SOUTH  
OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.  
 
OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:  
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM LATE THIS WEEKEND OR  
EARLY NEXT WEEK SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE COAST OF  
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR  
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT THEREAFTER, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM  
AS THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER GIBBS  
 
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