410
ABPZ20 KNHC 091145
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU JUL 9 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
CENTRAL PACIFIC:
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED SINCE
YESTERDAY NEAR A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM LATER THIS
WEEK INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AS
THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC, REMAINING WELL SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM LATE THIS WEEKEND OR
EARLY NEXT WEEK SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE COAST
OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE
FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT THEREAFTER, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD
FORM NEXT WEEK WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
WELL SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS:
ANOTHER AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED MORE THAN 1000 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE
FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC, REMAINING WELL SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...30 PERCENT.
FORECASTER BERG/KATZ
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