658
ABPZ20 KNHC 100509
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT THU JUL 9 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
CENTRAL PACIFIC (CP90):
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF
THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY
WESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PACIFIC, REMAINING WELL SOUTH OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
WELL SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS:
ANOTHER AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE
FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS IT MOVES MAINLY WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC,
REMAINING WELL SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...30 PERCENT.
OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM LATE THIS WEEKEND OR
EARLY NEXT WEEK SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE COAST
OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE
FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT THEREAFTER, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS
LIKELY TO FORM NEXT WEEK WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
FORECASTER PASCH
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