105
ABPZ20 KNHC 101147
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI JUL 10 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS (CP90):
RECENT SATELLITE-DERIVED WIND DATA INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF
DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS DOES NOT HAVE A CLOSED SURFACE WIND
CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY
WESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PACIFIC, REMAINING WELL SOUTH OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
WELL SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS:
ANOTHER AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE
FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM NEXT WEEK AS IT MOVES MAINLY WESTWARD OVER THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC, REMAINING WELL SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM LATE THIS WEEKEND OR
EARLY NEXT WEEK SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE COAST
OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE
FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT THEREAFTER, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS
LIKELY TO FORM NEXT WEEK WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
CENTRAL AND WESTERN EAST PACIFIC:
ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM BY EARLY NEXT WEEK WELL
SOUTHWEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY
NORTHWESTWARD.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
FORECASTER BERG/KATZ
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