428  
WTPZ25 KNHC 150834  
TCMEP5  
 
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052026  
0900 UTC WED JUL 15 2026  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 111.8W AT 15/0900Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.  
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.  
4 M SEAS....150NE 0SE 0SW 150NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 111.8W AT 15/0900Z  
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 111.1W  
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.0N 113.8W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.1N 116.1W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 30SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.5N 118.1W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.  
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 70NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.2N 119.8W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.  
34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 90NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.1N 121.3W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT...130NE 110SE 90SW 100NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 18.2N 122.7W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT...130NE 110SE 90SW 100NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 20.9N 125.4W  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 10SW 20NW.  
34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 23.3N 127.7W  
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.  
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.  
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 111.8W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z  
 
 
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)  
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TPC Page
Main Text Page