521
FZPN03 KNHC 160251
HSFEP2
HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU JUL 16 2026
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
SECURITE
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 18.
.WARNINGS.
..HURRICANE WARNING
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 15.4N 115.2W 997 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL
16 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE
...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N110W TO 19N116W
TO 15N117W TO 14N114W TO 09N114W TO 12N110W TO 18N110W WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 09N123W TO
09N129W TO 06N132W TO 04N127W TO 04N123W TO 06N121W TO 09N123W
SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 16.2N 118.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 130 NM SE
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM
SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 7.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N113W TO 21N118W TO 17N122W TO
10N121W TO 08N119W TO 09N114W TO 18N113W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N114W TO 20N122W TO
14N122W TO 08N129W TO 06N120W TO 10N112W TO 21N114W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 18.1N 121.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE...150 NM
SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 9.0 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N115W TO 23N118W TO 21N126W TO 18N126W TO
13N123W TO 15N117W TO 21N115W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N113W TO 24N119W TO 22N127W TO
17N127W TO 09N124W TO 12N114W TO 18N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W
TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N87W TO 12N89W TO 11N89W TO 10N88W TO 10N86W
TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 19N137W TO 23N139W TO 23N140W TO
17N140W TO 16N138W TO 17N137W TO 19N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0200 UTC THU JUL 16...
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120
NM E SEMICIRCLE...AND WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SIMILAR
CONVECTION BETWEEN 180 NM AND 360 NM S QUADRANT. NUMEROUS
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM NE QUADRANT...
900 NM SE QUADRANT...BETWEEN 240 NM AND 810 NM SW QUADRANT...
AND WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT.
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 97W
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 02N TO 12N BETWEEN 88W AND 102W.
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N74W TO 10N86W TO 08N95W TO 15N111W THEN
RESUMES SW OF ELIDA FROM 12N118W TO 09N126W TO LOW PRES NEAR
11.5N139W TO BEYOND 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 05N TO 15N BETWEEN 125W AND 140W.
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
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