618  
ABNT20 KNHC 160515  
TWOAT  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
200 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2026  
 
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:  
 
EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC:  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED  
SOUTHEAST OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS REMAIN DISORGANIZED. SOME SLOW  
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THE  
SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. BY THIS  
WEEKEND, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO A LESS CONDUCIVE  
ENVIRONMENT, AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
 
NORTHEASTERN GULF OF AMERICA AND OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.:  
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM THIS WEEKEND OVER THE  
NORTHEASTERN GULF OF AMERICA. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS  
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE  
NORTHEASTERN GULF AND NEAR THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED  
STATES EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER GIBBS  
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