386
FZPN03 KNHC 161534
HSFEP2
HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU JUL 16 2026
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
SECURITE
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 18.
.WARNINGS.
..HURRICANE WARNING
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 15.7N 117.4W 997 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 16
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE
QUADRANT AND 110 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM
NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...
EXCEPT 240 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 111W AND 120W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL. FROM 06N TO 13N
BETWEEN 112W AND 120W...AND FROM 06N TO 11N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W S
TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 16.7N 120.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN
60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 130 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS
4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND
180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 8.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 08N TO 23N BETWEEN 111W AND
125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 19.2N 123.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN
130 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS
4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE...AND 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 9.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 270 NM
W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 10N TO 27N BETWEEN 113W AND 130W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 13N96W
INCLUDING THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
FROM 09.5N TO 11.5N E OF 92W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
NE
TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC THU JUL 16...
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM
NE SEMICIRCLE...AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 114W AND 122W.
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 100W
A CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS NEAR THE SOUTHERN END OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 04N TO 08N
BETWEEN 95W AND 101W.
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA NEAR 07N77W TO
06N80W TO 08N85W TO 07N95W TO 12N109W, THEN RESUMES SOUTHWEST OF
ELIDA FROM 13N120W TO 1007 MB LOW PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR 10N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 03N TO 12N
E OF 110W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. SIMILAR CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS
NOTED FROM 05N TO 15N W OF 130W.
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
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