813  
FZPN03 KNHC 171537  
HSFEP2  
 
HIGH SEAS FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
1630 UTC FRI JUL 17 2026  
 
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS  
 
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE  
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE  
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.  
 
SECURITE  
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE  
EQUATOR E OF 120W  
 
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 17.  
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 18.  
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL 19.  
 
.WARNINGS.  
   
..HURRICANE WARNING
 
 
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 16.8N 120.8W 994 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 17  
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS  
65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM  
NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM  
E SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SW QUADRANT AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS  
TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM E AND 270 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS  
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 08N TO  
23N BETWEEN 112W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN  
MIXED SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 18.7N 123.2W. MAXIMUM  
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN  
120 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND  
100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM E AND 180 NM W  
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 8.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM E AND 240 NM  
W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE  
AREA FROM 09N TO 25N BETWEEN 113W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS  
2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 22.0N 125.6W.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE  
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR  
GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 270 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS  
TO 8.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 300 NM NE  
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA  
FROM 13N TO 29N BETWEEN 116W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5  
TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.  
 
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE  
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE  
AND INTENSITY.  
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.  
   
N OF 14N BETWEEN 94.5 AND 95.5W
 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF  
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.   
24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 12.5N BETWEEN 94.5 AND 95.5W
 
INCLUDING THE  
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.  
   
FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 86W AND 92W
 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF  
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.  
 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 107W. LOW PRES NEAR 10N107W.  
WITHIN 75 NM NE QUADRANT OF LOW CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5  
M.  
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 108.5W. LOW PRES NEAR  
11N108.5W. WITHIN 75 NM OF LOW CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS  
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.    
48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE
 
NEAR  
11N110.5W 1006 MB. WITHIN 120 NM OF LOW CENTER EXCEPT 210 NM NE  
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.  
 
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.  
 
CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC FRI JUL 17...  
   
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA
 
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 12N TO  
17.5N BETWEEN 119W AND 123W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG  
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W.  
   
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
 
 
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA  
AT 10N76W TO 07N90W TO 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE NEAR 11N105W TO  
12N114W...THEN RESUMES SOUTHWEST OF ELIDA FROM 11N129W TO BEYOND  
10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 03N  
TO 09N E OF 90W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN  
90W AND 99W...FROM 12N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 100W AND 108W.  
 

 
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.  
 
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