144  
ABNT20 KNHC 171721  
TWOAT  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
200 PM EDT FRI JUL 17 2026  
 
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:  
 
EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC:  
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE, ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE, IS  
LOCATED NEAR THE SOUTHERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS. THE LOW CONTINUES TO  
PRODUCE A LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
WHILE IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SIGNIFICANT  
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL  
CONDITIONS BECOME EVEN LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE  
WEEKEND. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY PRODUCE  
SOME GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN CABO VERDE  
ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
 
NORTHERN GULF OF AMERICA AND NEAR FLORIDA:  
A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF  
AMERICA IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW AND A SURFACE TROUGH.  
SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE WHILE IT  
MEANDERS NORTHWARD, BRINGING HEAVY RAIN TO PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA  
WEST COAST DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...30 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER KATZ/CANGIALOSI  
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