289  
FONT12 KNHC 210251  
PWSAT2  
 
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022026  
0300 UTC TUE JUL 21 2026  
 
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
WHITING FLD FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
PENSACOLA FL 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)  
 
GFAM 290N 870W 34 36 41(77) 4(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)  
GFAM 290N 870W 50 3 12(15) 3(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)  
GFAM 290N 870W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)  
 
MOBILE AL 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)  
 
GULFPORT MS 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)  
 
STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12)  
 
BURAS LA 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 13(22) 4(26) X(26) X(26)  
 
GFAM 280N 890W 34 X 4( 4) 13(17) 9(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27)  
GFAM 280N 890W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12)  
 
HOUMA LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12)  
 
GFAM 280N 910W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 9(15) 1(16) X(16)  
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) X(10)  
 
LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)  
 
GFAM 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8)  
 
LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)  
 
CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) 1(12)  
 
KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)  
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)  
 
GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7)  
 
GFAM 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)  
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)  
 
MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)  
 
PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)  
 
 
FORECASTER PASCH  
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